Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.160013 0.189050 0.221445 0.260209 0.305272 0.355945 0.417188
2024-12-29 0.118143 0.156527 0.204027 0.266870 0.347544 0.447319 0.579735
2025-01-05 0.090487 0.131422 0.186434 0.265204 0.374434 0.519779 0.726914
2025-01-12 0.070903 0.111356 0.169646 0.258830 0.390680 0.577001 0.858421
2025-01-19 0.056646 0.095364 0.154701 0.250918 0.401309 0.625150 0.980505
2025-01-26 0.048863 0.087466 0.149915 0.256447 0.431186 0.703142 1.153674
2025-02-02 0.042342 0.080229 0.144662 0.259809 0.457170 0.777017 1.327642
2025-02-09 0.036680 0.073333 0.138664 0.260603 0.478317 0.844587 1.497805
2025-02-16 0.032448 0.068218 0.134826 0.264263 0.504236 0.922043 1.691631
2025-02-23 0.029706 0.065430 0.134691 0.274360 0.542367 1.023766 1.936805
2025-03-02 0.025339 0.058569 0.125735 0.266426 0.546060 1.064541 2.077510
2025-03-09 0.022663 0.054768 0.122192 0.268424 0.568529 1.141213 2.290469
2025-03-16 0.019759 0.050014 0.116132 0.264776 0.580050 1.199679 2.477632
2025-03-23 0.018071 0.047752 0.115039 0.271398 0.613191 1.303252 2.762312
2025-03-30 0.015988 0.044147 0.110418 0.269671 0.628571 1.373053 2.986978
2025-04-06 0.013887 0.040086 0.104103 0.263189 0.632761 1.420247 3.170066
2025-04-13 0.011997 0.036190 0.097547 0.255150 0.632355 1.457499 3.335666
2025-04-20 0.011076 0.034740 0.096760 0.260765 0.663672 1.565467 3.661550
2025-04-27 0.010145 0.033080 0.095179 0.264181 0.690168 1.665311 3.978836
2025-05-04 0.009201 0.031195 0.092712 0.264987 0.710432 1.753038 4.277132
2025-05-11 0.008477 0.029830 0.091434 0.268705 0.738259 1.860602 4.629953
2025-05-18 0.008058 0.029347 0.092540 0.278961 0.783736 2.013516 5.100836
2025-05-25 0.007062 0.026773 0.087254 0.270902 0.780997 2.051413 5.304820